The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami has released its latest tropical outlook for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico as of 8:00 AM EDT, Thursday, September 25, 2025. Multiple systems are currently being monitored, including Hurricane Gabrielle, Tropical Storm Humberto, and a developing tropical disturbance in the central Caribbean and southwestern Atlantic.
Hurricane Gabrielle Over the Central Subtropical Atlantic
Hurricane Gabrielle continues to churn over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. While Gabrielle remains over open waters and poses no immediate threat to land, the NHC continues to track its movement closely. Swells generated by Gabrielle may affect portions of the Atlantic coastline in the coming days, potentially creating hazardous surf conditions.
Tropical Storm Humberto Near the Northern Leeward Islands
Further west, Tropical Storm Humberto is positioned several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Humberto is expected to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to parts of the region. While no major landfall is imminent, the storm may strengthen as it continues to move through the Atlantic.
Disturbance in the Central Caribbean and Southwestern Atlantic (AL94)
The most concerning development is a tropical wave (Invest AL94) producing widespread disorganized showers, thunderstorms, and gusty winds across the Dominican Republic and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
- A low-pressure system is expected to form along this wave tonight or early Friday near the southeastern Bahamas.
- Forecasters expect the disturbance to become a tropical depression as it moves toward the central and northwestern Bahamas within the next couple of days.
- Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected in parts of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas.
Development Chances
- Next 48 hours: High chance of formation (70%)
- Next 7 days: High chance of formation (90%)
Potential Impacts for the Southeastern United States
While the system’s exact path remains uncertain, the coastal areas of the southeastern United States are advised to monitor forecasts closely. Even without direct landfall, the system could bring rough seas, heavy rainfall, and localized flooding.
